Ikibazo: Urebye ubucuruzi bwisi yose binyuze mumurongo ibiri - ni gute imikorere yabayeho mbere yigihe cya COVID-19 naho icya kabiri mubyumweru 10-12 bishize?

Ubucuruzi bwisi yose bwari bumeze nabi mbere yuko icyorezo cya COVID-19 gitangira, igice cyatewe nintambara yubucuruzi hagati y’Amerika n'Ubushinwa ndetse igice kikaba cyaratewe no kuva muri gahunda yo gukangurira Amerika gukoreshwa n’ubuyobozi bwa Trump muri 2017. Hariho umwaka-mwaka kugabanuka kwibyoherezwa mu mahanga buri gihembwe muri 2019.

Igisubizo cyintambara yubucuruzi cyatanzwe n’amasezerano y’ubucuruzi y’Amerika n’Ubushinwa icyiciro cya mbere cyari gikwiye gutuma habaho icyizere mu bucuruzi ndetse n’ubucuruzi bw’ibihugu byombi.Ariko, icyorezo cyishyuye kuriya.

Amakuru y’ubucuruzi ku isi yerekana ingaruka zibyiciro bibiri byambere bya COVID-19.Muri Gashyantare na Werurwe dushobora kubona umuvuduko w’ubucuruzi bw’Ubushinwa, aho igabanuka ry’ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga 17.2% muri Mutarama / Gashyantare na 6.6% muri Werurwe, kubera ko ubukungu bwifunze.Ibyo kuva icyo gihe byakurikiwe no kugabanuka gukabije mugice cya kabiri hamwe no gusenya kwinshi.Guteranya ibihugu 23 bimaze gutanga amakuru muri Mata,Amakuru ya Panjivayerekana ko impuzandengo ya 12,6% yagabanutse ku bicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga muri Mata nyuma yo kugabanuka kwa 8.9% muri Werurwe.

Icyiciro cya gatatu cyo gufungura birashoboka ko kizagenda kigabanuka uko kwiyongera kubisabwa ku masoko amwe n'amwe bituzuzwa nabandi bikomeza gufungwa.Twabonye ibimenyetso byinshi byibyo murwego rwimodoka urugero.Icyiciro cya kane, cyo gutegura ejo hazaza, birashoboka gusa kuba ikintu muri Q3.

Ikibazo: Urashobora gutanga incamake yintambara yintambara yubucuruzi hagati y’Amerika n'Ubushinwa?Hari ibimenyetso byerekana ko bishyuha?

Intambara y’ubucuruzi irahagaze nyuma y’amasezerano y’ubucuruzi yo mu cyiciro cya 1, ariko hari ibimenyetso byinshi byerekana ko umubano wifashe nabi kandi ko ibintu byateganijwe gusenyuka muri ayo masezerano.Kugura Ubushinwa kugura ibicuruzwa by’Amerika nkuko byemejwe muri ayo masezerano hagati muri Gashyantare bimaze kuba miliyari 27 z'amadolari nyuma ya gahunda nk'uko bigaragara muri Panjivaubushakashatsiyo ku ya 5 Kamena

Duhereye kuri politiki, itandukaniro ry’ibitekerezo ku nyirabayazana y’iki cyorezo cya COVID-19 hamwe n’uko Amerika yakiriye amategeko mashya y’umutekano y’Ubushinwa kuri Hong Kong bitanga byibuze guhagarika ibiganiro by’ibiganiro kandi bishobora gutuma ihinduka ry’imisoro iriho niba andi mashanyarazi aragaragara.

Hamwe n'ibimaze kuvugwa byose, ubuyobozi bwa Trump bushobora guhitamo kureka amasezerano yicyiciro cya mbere aho kwibanda kubindi bikorwa, cyane cyane bijyanye no kohereza ibicuruzwa hanzetekinoroji yo hejuruibicuruzwa.Guhindura amategeko yerekeye Hong Kong birashobora gutanga amahirwe yo kuvugurura ibintu.
Ikibazo: Birashoboka ko tuzabona kwibanda hafi-shoring / reshoring biturutse kuri COVID-19 nintambara yubucuruzi?

Muburyo bwinshi COVID-19 irashobora gukora nkigwiza imbaraga mubyemezo byamasosiyete bijyanye nigihe kirekire cyo gutanga amasoko yatangijwe nintambara yubucuruzi.Bitandukanye nintambara yubucuruzi nubwo ingaruka za COVID-19 zishobora kuba zifitanye isano ningaruka kuruta ibiciro byiyongereye bijyanye nibiciro.Ni muri urwo rwego ibigo nyuma ya COVID-19 bifite nibura ibyemezo bitatu byingenzi byo gusubiza.

Ubwa mbere, ni uruhe rwego rukwiye rwo kubara urwego rwo kurokoka byombi bigufi / bigufi kandi birebire / bigari bitangwa?Kugarura ibarura kugirango uhuze ibyifuzo bikenewe birerekana ko ari ingorabahizi kubigo byinganda kuvakugurisha agasandukuKuri Imodoka naibicuruzwa bikuru.

Icya kabiri, ni bangahe gutandukanya geografiya?Kurugero hazabaho ubundi buryo bwo gukora ibicuruzwa hanze yUbushinwa bizaba bihagije, cyangwa birakenewe cyane?Hano hari ubucuruzi hagati yo kugabanya ingaruka nigihombo cyubukungu bwikigereranyo hano.Kugeza ubu biragaragara ko ibigo byinshi byafashe ahantu hamwe gusa.

Icya gatatu, biramutse bibaye kimwe muri ibyo bibanza bigarukira muri Amerika Igitekerezo cyo gutanga umusaruro mukarere, mukarere birashobora gufasha cyane gukumira ingaruka ziterwa nubukungu bwaho hamwe nibibazo bishobora guhura na COVID-19.Ariko, ntibigaragara ko urwego rwibiciro rwakoreshejwe kugeza ubu rwabaye rwinshi bihagije kugirango basunikire ibigo muri Amerika Uruvange rw’ibiciro biri hejuru cyangwa birashoboka cyane ko ari uruvange rw’ibikorwa byo mu karere birimo kugabanya imisoro no kugabanya amabwiriza azakenerwa, nkuko byashyizwe ahagaragara muri Panjiva yo ku ya 20 Gicurasiisesengura.

Ikibazo: Ubushobozi bwo kongera ibiciro butanga imbogamizi kubatwara ibicuruzwa ku isi - tugiye kubona ibicuruzwa mbere yo kugura cyangwa kwihuta mu mezi ari imbere?

Muri théorie yego, cyane cyane urebye twinjiye mugihe gisanzwe cyo kohereza ibicuruzwa bitumizwa mu mahanga imyenda, ibikinisho n'amashanyarazi bitarimo imisoro igera muri Amerika ku bwinshi kuva muri Nyakanga guhera bivuze kohereza ibicuruzwa hanze kuva muri Kamena.Ariko, ntabwo turi mubihe bisanzwe.Abacuruza ibikinisho bagomba kumenya niba ibyifuzo bizasubira murwego rusanzwe cyangwa niba abaguzi bazakomeza kwitonda.Nko mu mpera za Gicurasi, amakuru ya Panjiva yoherezwa mu nyanja yerekana ko ibicuruzwa byo muri Amerika bitumiza mu mahangaimyendanaamashanyarazikuva mu Bushinwa ni 49.9% na 0,6% gusa munsi ya Gicurasi, na 31.9% na 16.4% munsi yumwaka mbere yumwaka.